Arthur Kroeber, a leading commentator on the Chinese economy and author of “China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know”, analyzes three scenarios for the future and discusses whether China is more likely to evolve into a powerful Singapore-style economy, become an unstable but aggressive Russian-style state or follow Japan into genteel decline.

Evening Presentation by ARTHUR KROEBER, Founder, Gavekal Dragonomics & Author
Drinks reception 6:30pm,
Presentation 7:00pm,
Close 8:00pm

About the Event

In the last three decades China has surged from impoverished backwater to become the world’s second-biggest economy and largest trading nation. Yet as the recent tumult on global markets shows, China risks destabilizing the world as it makes the hard shift from an investment-driven to a consumer-oriented economy. The headwinds of a rapidly aging population, a battle against rampant corruption and an enormous national debt are also slowing the country’s growth. Whether China succeeds or fails has huge implications not only for its own people but for the rest of the world: “getting China right” is one of the most important tasks of our time. Arthur Kroeber, a leading commentator on the Chinese economy and author of “China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know”, analyzes three scenarios for the future and discusses whether China is more likely to evolve into a powerful Singapore-style economy, become an unstable but aggressive Russian-style state or follow Japan into genteel decline.

About the Author

Arthur Kroeber is Founder of the China-focused Gavekal Dragonomics research service, editor of China Economic Quarterly and author of “China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know” which was published by Oxford University Press in April 2016. He is Head of Research at Gavekal, a Hong Kong-based financial-services firm, and divides his time between Beijing and New York. Before founding Dragonomics in 2002, he spent 15 years as a financial and economic journalist in China and South Asia. He is a senior non-resident fellow of the Brookings-Tsinghua Center, an adjunct professor at the Columbia University School of International and Public Affairs, and a member of the National Committee on US-China Relations